Abstract
Accurately forecasting gold price actions is critical in financial markets due to gold's role as a safe-haven asset. This paper addresses the challenge of forecasting gold prices by applying a Genetic Algorithm (GA) with a Multi-Layer Perceptron (MLP) model. The research exploits historical financial data from various instruments, including gold futures, Bitcoin, and key currency pairs, to improve prediction accuracy. By optimizing the MLP's hyper parameters through GA, the model efficiently captures complex relationships in high-frequency data, achieving a remarkable R² score of 0.9993. This level of precision demonstrates the model's potential for providing actionable insights for traders and investors. The study's conclusions highlight the feasibility of combining machine learning techniques with evolutionary algorithms in financial forecasting, offering a valuable tool for navigating market volatility.
Recommended Citation
Vrtagic, S., Dogan, F. (2024). High-frequency gold price forecasting: Optimizing multi-layer perceptron with Genetic Algorithm. Mathematical Modelling of Engineering Problems, Vol. 11, No. 12, pp. 3235-3242. https://doi.org/10.18280/mmep.111203
Department(s)
Materials Science and Engineering
Publication Status
Open Access
Keywords and Phrases
Financial forecasting; Genetic algorithms; Gold Price forecastings; High-frequency trading; Hyper-parameter optimization; Machine learning; Multi-layer perceptron
Subject Headings
Gold sales & prices; Business forecastings; Gold futures; Evolutionary algorithms; Genetic algorithms
International Standard Serial Number (ISSN)
2369-0739
Document Type
Article - Journal
Document Version
Citation
File Type
text
Language(s)
English
Rights
© 2026 The Authors, All rights reserved
Creative Commons Licensing

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Publication Date
2024-12-31
