Abstract

One of the key issues in constructing monetary policy is accurate prediction of the inflation level. The complex behavior and non-linear nature of the financial markets makes it hard to forecast the inflation rate precisely. This paper introduces a hybrid model that attempts to forecast the inflation rate with a combination of a subtractive clustering technique and a fuzzy inference neural network to overcome the shortcomings of the individual methodologies. Selected macroeconomic factors were used to predict the historical CPI data from the US Markets. The results of the proposed hybrid model are measured in RMSE.

Department(s)

Engineering Management and Systems Engineering

Publication Status

Open Access

Keywords and Phrases

Consumer price index; Fuzzy inference neural networks; Inflation; Regression analysis

International Standard Serial Number (ISSN)

1877-0509

Document Type

Article - Conference proceedings

Document Version

Final Version

File Type

text

Language(s)

English

Rights

© 2024 Elsevier, All rights reserved.

Creative Commons Licensing

Creative Commons License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-Noncommercial-No Derivative Works 4.0 License.

Publication Date

01 Jan 2014

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