"Aerothermal Uncertainty Quantification of Deployable Entry Technologie" by Mario Santos, Serhat Hosder et al.
 

Abstract

The objective of this work was to investigate the use of a co-Kriging based multi-fidelity modeling approach with a Monte Carlo uncertainty quantification analyses of surface heating on hypersonic inflatable aerodynamic decelerator vehicles and adaptable, deployable entry placement technology vehicles in Mars entry. A previously developed co-Kriging based multi-fidelity modeling approach was used to model the laminar and turbulent convective and radiative heat fluxes along the vehicle. Monte Carlo analyses of surface heat load for nine different vehicle nose radii was performed for both vehicles, assuming the same thermal protection system is used for both vehicles. The maximum heat loads and heat load uncertainties were found to occur at either the stagnation point or the vehicle shoulder. The maximum 95% confidence intervals for the total heat load for the hypersonic inflatable aerodynamic decelerator vehicle were found to be [-9.27, 7.81] % of the nominal value and [-6.09, 13.1] % of the nominal value for laminar and turbulent flow, respectively. The maximum 95% confidence intervals for the total heat load for the adaptable, deployable entry placement technology vehicle were found to be [-8.85, 7.22] % of the nominal value and [-9.33, 9.35] % of the nominal value for laminar and turbulent flow, respectively. The difference in heating uncertainties based on vehicle geometry between the two vehicle technologies was found to be minimal.

Department(s)

Mechanical and Aerospace Engineering

Publication Status

Full Access

Comments

National Science Foundation, Grant 80NSSC17K0170

International Standard Book Number (ISBN)

978-162410612-5

Document Type

Article - Conference proceedings

Document Version

Citation

File Type

text

Language(s)

English

Rights

© 2024 American Institute of Aeronautics and Astronautics, All rights reserved.

Publication Date

01 Jan 2021

Share

 
COinS
 
 
 
BESbswy