Prediction of Shot Noise
Abstract
Prediction of future values of a shot noise process observed on a discrete lattice of points is considered. The shot magnitudes are assumed to be independent and identically distributed and to arrive via a Poisson process; the effect of each shot dissipates and/or accumulates according to a known shot function. Conditional mean and linear point predictors of future process values are developed. Distributional prediction, obtained through saddlepoint approximation of the conditional distributions of the process, is also explored.
Recommended Citation
R. B. Lund et al., "Prediction of Shot Noise," Journal of Applied Probability, Applied Probability Trust, Jan 1999.
The definitive version is available at https://doi.org/10.1239/jap/1032374459
Department(s)
Mathematics and Statistics
Keywords and Phrases
prediction; shot noise; mean squared error; saddlepoint a[pproximation
International Standard Serial Number (ISSN)
0021-9002
Document Type
Article - Journal
Document Version
Citation
File Type
text
Language(s)
English
Rights
© 1999 Applied Probability Trust, All rights reserved.
Publication Date
01 Jan 1999