Optimal Crude Oil Procurement under Fluctuating Price in an Oil Refinery

Abstract

In this paper, we study the optimal procurement and operation of an oil refinery. The crude oil prices follow geometric Brownian motion processes with correlation. We build a multiperiod inventory problem where each period involves an operation problem such as separation or blending. The decisions are the amount of crude oils to purchase and the amount of oil products to produce. We employ approximate dynamic programming methods to solve this multiperiod multiproduct optimization problem. Numerical results reveal that this complex problem can be approximately solved with little loss of optimality. Further, we find that the approximate solution significantly outperforms a set of myopic policies that are currently used.

Department(s)

Engineering Management and Systems Engineering

Keywords and Phrases

Uncertainty modelling; Risk management; Refinery operation; Procurement; Fluctuating price

International Standard Serial Number (ISSN)

0377-2217

Document Type

Article - Journal

Document Version

Citation

File Type

text

Language(s)

English

Rights

© 2015 Elsevier, All rights reserved.

Publication Date

01 Sep 2015

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