Optimal Crude Oil Procurement under Fluctuating Price in an Oil Refinery
In this paper, we study the optimal procurement and operation of an oil refinery. The crude oil prices follow geometric Brownian motion processes with correlation. We build a multiperiod inventory problem where each period involves an operation problem such as separation or blending. The decisions are the amount of crude oils to purchase and the amount of oil products to produce. We employ approximate dynamic programming methods to solve this multiperiod multiproduct optimization problem. Numerical results reveal that this complex problem can be approximately solved with little loss of optimality. Further, we find that the approximate solution significantly outperforms a set of myopic policies that are currently used.
R. Chen et al., "Optimal Crude Oil Procurement under Fluctuating Price in an Oil Refinery," European Journal of Operational Research, vol. 245, no. 2, pp. 438-445, Elsevier, Sep 2015.
The definitive version is available at http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ejor.2015.03.002
Engineering Management and Systems Engineering
Keywords and Phrases
Uncertainty modelling; Risk management; Refinery operation; Procurement; Fluctuating price
Article - Journal
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