This paper reviews the likely sources of energy in the year 1990. Economic conditions, difficult to forecast, affect short-term consumption, while technological breakthroughs, equally impossible to predict, will control long-term production of energy. For the ten-year period, however, commitments to construction, or feasibility studies, must already be in hand. This allows a prediction of the energy supply for that year, and such a prediction is made. Because this indicates that only about 1 percent growth in supply can occur over this time period, against a requirement for at least 2 percent, the forecast is doomier than it was in earlier predictions.
Summers, David A., "The Gloom Gets Doomier" (1980). UMR-MEC Conference on Energy / UMR-DNR Conference on Energy. 239, pp. 237-243.
7th Annual UMR-MEC Conference on Energy (1980: Oct. 14-16, Rolla, MO)
Article - Conference proceedings
Political & Social
© 1980 University of Missouri--Rolla, All rights reserved.
16 Oct 1980