Scholars' Mine
Missouri S&T
Research Repository
Curtis Laws Wilson Library
400 W. 14th Street
Rolla, MO 65409-0060
scholarsmine@mst.edu
| Title: | Ameliorating mental mistakes in tradeoff studies |
| Author (s): | Smith, Eric D. Son, Young Jun Piattelli-Palmarini, Massimo Bahill, A. Terry |
| Department/Lab Affiliations: | Engineering Management & Systems Engineering |
| Keywords: | alternative solutions cognitive biases combining functions decision analysis decision making under uncertainty evaluation criteria evaluation data |
| Issue Date: | 2007 |
| Publisher: | John Wiley and Sons Ltd |
| Citation: | Eric D. Smith, Young Jun Son, Massimo Piattelli-Palmarini and A. Terry Bahill, Ameliorating Mistakes in Tradeoff Studies, Systems Engineering, 10(3), 222-240, Fall 2007 |
| Abstract: | Tradeoff studies are broadly recognized and mandated as the method for simultaneously considering multiple alternatives with many criteria, and as such are recommended in the Capability Maturity Model Integration (CMMI) Decision Analysis and Resolution (DAR) process. Tradeoff studies, which involve human numerical judgment, calibration, and data updating, are often approached with under confidence by analysts and are often distrusted by decision makers. The decision-making fields of Judgment and Decision Making, Cognitive Science and Experimental Economics have built up a large body of research on human biases and errors in considering numerical and criteria-based choices. Relationships between experiments in these fields and the elements of tradeoff studies show that tradeoff studies are susceptible to human mental mistakes: This paper indicates ways to eliminate the presence, or ameliorate the effects of mental mistakes on tradeoff studies. © 2007 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Syst Eng 10: 222–240, 2007 |
| Type: | Article - Journal text |
| In Title: | Systems Engineering |
| Copyright Notice: | This material is presented to ensure timely dissemination of scholarly and technical work. Copyright and all rights therein are retained by authors or by other copyright holders. All persons copying this information are expected to adhere to the terms and constraints invoked by each author's copyright. In most cases, these works may not be reposted without the explicit permission of the copyright holder. FULL COPYRIGHT INFORMATION: |
| Publisher URL: | |
| Link to this page: |
| title | Ameliorating mental mistakes in tradeoff studies |
| contributor.author | Smith, Eric D. |
| contributor.author | Son, Young Jun |
| contributor.author | Piattelli-Palmarini, Massimo |
| contributor.author | Bahill, A. Terry |
| contributor.deptlab | Engineering Management & Systems Engineering |
| subject | alternative solutions |
| subject | cognitive biases |
| subject | combining functions |
| subject | decision analysis |
| subject | decision making under uncertainty |
| subject | evaluation criteria |
| subject | evaluation data |
| date.issued | 2007 |
| publisher | John Wiley and Sons Ltd |
| identifier.citation | Eric D. Smith, Young Jun Son, Massimo Piattelli-Palmarini and A. Terry Bahill, Ameliorating Mistakes in Tradeoff Studies, Systems Engineering, 10(3), 222-240, Fall 2007 |
| identifier.pub.URI | |
| description.abstract | Tradeoff studies are broadly recognized and mandated as the method for simultaneously considering multiple alternatives with many criteria, and as such are recommended in the Capability Maturity Model Integration (CMMI) Decision Analysis and Resolution (DAR) process. Tradeoff studies, which involve human numerical judgment, calibration, and data updating, are often approached with under confidence by analysts and are often distrusted by decision makers. The decision-making fields of Judgment and Decision Making, Cognitive Science and Experimental Economics have built up a large body of research on human biases and errors in considering numerical and criteria-based choices. Relationships between experiments in these fields and the elements of tradeoff studies show that tradeoff studies are susceptible to human mental mistakes: This paper indicates ways to eliminate the presence, or ameliorate the effects of mental mistakes on tradeoff studies. © 2007 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Syst Eng 10: 222–240, 2007 |
| type | Article - Journal |
| type.DCMIType | text |
| type.status | Postprint |
| rights | This material is presented to ensure timely dissemination of scholarly and technical work. Copyright and all rights therein are retained by authors or by other copyright holders. All persons copying this information are expected to adhere to the terms and constraints invoked by each author's copyright. In most cases, these works may not be reposted without the explicit permission of the copyright holder. |
| rights.URI | |
| relation.isPartOf | Systems Engineering |
| date.accessioned | 2007-04-11T17:00:48Z |
| date.available | 2008-04-11T19:03:45Z |
| identifier.persist.URI |