Asymptotic Properties of Sieve Bootstrap Prediction Intervals For Farima Processes
Koul, H. L. and Xiao, Y.
The sieve bootstrap is a resampling technique that uses autoregressive approximations of order p to model invertible linear time series, where p is allowed to go to infinity with sample size n. The asymptotic properties of sieve bootstrap prediction intervals for stationary invertible linear processes with short memory have been established in the past. In this paper, we extend these results to long memory (FARIMA) processes. We show that under certain regularity conditions the sieve bootstrap provides consistent estimators of the conditional distribution of future values of FARIMA processes, given the observed data.
M. Rupasinghe and V. A. Samaranayake, "Asymptotic Properties of Sieve Bootstrap Prediction Intervals For Farima Processes," Statistical and Probability Letters, Elsevier, Jan 2012.
The definitive version is available at http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.spl.2012.07.011
Mathematics and Statistics
Keywords and Phrases
Forecast Intervals; Fractionally Integrated Time Series; Long Memory Processes; Autoregressive Approximations
Article - Journal
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