"The “Debt Crisis” of the developing countries within the past several years is due to several causes such as perception of the debt problem, non-flexibility of the rescue packages, mismanagement of the internal resources, oil price and interest rate fluctuations, and the slow reaction to the world trade fluctuation. The complexity of the problem and its importance to both indebted and industrial countries requires the utilization of all the resources available, such as proper management of industrial activities and utilization of computer based decision support systems. In this study, a Decision Support System (DSS) was developed with includes several forecasting and simulation modules. The DSS is able to analyze various debt proposal plans, the effectiveness of promotion of different industrial activities, and effects of any changes in the world trade maker in conjunction with the debt position for Mexico, Argentina, and Brazil. The DSS developed is applicable to other developing countries by slight modification and has several built in modules which analyze the effect of variances in different industrial activity levels on the debt position. The DSS was used to simulate different scenarios for a variety of situations in the industrial section, the world trade market, and different debt management proposal plans. The finding of this research suggests that measures such as debt rescheduling, the Bradley Plan, limited debt relief, and the austerity policy are not sufficient. The simulation of different scenarios for Mexico’s several industrial sectors distinguished certain industries which promote positive effects on the debt position"--Abstract, page iii.
Myers, Donald D., 1939-2009
Wiebe, Henry Allen
Engineering Management and Systems Engineering
Ph. D. in Engineering Management
University of Missouri--Rolla
xii, 289 pages
© 1991 Rahim Abbassi, All rights reserved.
Dissertation - Restricted Access
Library of Congress Subject Headings
Debt relief -- Developing countries
Finance -- Decision making
Debts, External -- Developing countries
Mexico -- Economic policy
Print OCLC #
Electronic OCLC #
Abbassi, Rahim, "A decision support system for international debt management" (1991). Doctoral Dissertations. 865.